Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.003717 0.004062 0.004432 0.004857 0.005335 0.005858 0.006474
2025-11-09 0.003141 0.003625 0.004180 0.004869 0.005707 0.006702 0.007985
2025-11-16 0.002774 0.003316 0.003968 0.004818 0.005909 0.007284 0.009179
2025-11-23 0.002488 0.003056 0.003762 0.004719 0.006004 0.007702 0.010174
2025-11-30 0.002323 0.002922 0.003691 0.004769 0.006275 0.008357 0.011552
2025-12-07 0.002224 0.002859 0.003697 0.004912 0.006675 0.009221 0.013336
2025-12-14 0.002069 0.002707 0.003567 0.004847 0.006764 0.009633 0.014476
2025-12-21 0.001925 0.002555 0.003424 0.004746 0.006780 0.009926 0.015455
2025-12-28 0.001814 0.002442 0.003324 0.004696 0.006866 0.010329 0.016661
2026-01-04 0.001738 0.002373 0.003281 0.004727 0.007075 0.010947 0.018329
2026-01-11 0.001645 0.002273 0.003185 0.004664 0.007123 0.011295 0.019547
2026-01-18 0.001568 0.002191 0.003110 0.004628 0.007209 0.011714 0.020959
2026-01-25 0.001484 0.002097 0.003016 0.004561 0.007250 0.012079 0.022379
2026-02-01 0.001424 0.002037 0.002970 0.004571 0.007430 0.012731 0.024537
2026-02-08 0.001357 0.001961 0.002894 0.004524 0.007499 0.013176 0.026325
2026-02-15 0.001286 0.001876 0.002798 0.004433 0.007478 0.013437 0.027739
2026-02-22 0.001249 0.001841 0.002781 0.004479 0.007717 0.014256 0.030659
2026-03-01 0.001231 0.001836 0.002811 0.004611 0.008137 0.015510 0.034976
2026-03-08 0.001178 0.001772 0.002740 0.004552 0.008166 0.015919 0.037150
2026-03-15 0.001124 0.001702 0.002654 0.004458 0.008117 0.016142 0.038861
2026-03-22 0.001081 0.001650 0.002596 0.004412 0.008164 0.016594 0.041347
2026-03-29 0.001053 0.001621 0.002577 0.004440 0.008370 0.017451 0.045296
2026-04-05 0.001014 0.001570 0.002516 0.004382 0.008382 0.017834 0.047851